cw007
0x9b5dc8793a43f26295a0c8eec3e58b041989fbb6
- Realised P&L
- $57.45
- Volume
- $138.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,290
- Open portfolio
- $390.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,290
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.795 | $190.81 | +$51.60 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.615 | $123.51 | +$63.51 |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.345 | $31.05 | +$1.65 |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.210 | $16.80 | +$7.20 |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.100 | $14.29 | −$19.12 |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.175 | $9.48 | −$1.65 |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.049 | $4.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.63at 0.293Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
- +$220.55at 0.402Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
- +$208.32at 0.717Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
- +$195.38at 0.338Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?
- +$167.41at 0.672Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 01:05 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 10-03 00:33 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 10-03 00:32 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.78 |
| 10-03 00:30 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.78 |
| 10-03 00:22 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.82 |
| 10-03 00:19 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.94 |
| 10-02 22:45 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? | BUY | 0.26 | $11.08 |
| 10-02 20:47 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 10-02 01:14 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | SELL | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 10-01 23:04 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | SELL | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 10-01 23:03 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | SELL | 0.2011831142 | $10.87 |
| 10-01 21:30 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m? | BUY | 0.206 | $11.12 |
| 10-01 19:12 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | BUY | 0.39 | $22.62 |
| 10-01 19:10 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | SELL | 0.584 | $2.92 |
| 10-01 18:57 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | SELL | 0.595 | $4.78 |