PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Luxtiger

0x9b5c9085bb4eb0b9f6b8036709a69fa94652e05c

Realised P&L
$-19.65
Volume
$271.39
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$0.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.015$0.39−$6.61
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? · Yes0.4330.096$0.22−$0.78
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3600.026$0.07−$0.93
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5800.029$0.05−$0.95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$3.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 18? · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 18? · Up0.6900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%? · No0.0620.000$0.00−$4.00
Iran leadership change by March 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in March 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 12:32Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
04-10 13:22Ledger IPO before 2027?SELL0.27$0.35
04-10 13:21Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.07$0.44
04-10 13:11NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 10?BUY0.4899998285$0.96
04-10 13:06Revolut IPO before 2027?SELL0.12$1.00
03-26 22:33Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?BUY0.0461538036$1.00
03-24 16:08Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
03-24 16:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.37$1.32
03-24 16:07Mistral AI IPO before 2027?SELL0.2$1.33
03-18 12:31Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on March 18?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
03-18 12:28SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?SELL0.89$2.06
03-18 12:25S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 18?BUY0.66$1.00
03-18 12:23Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?SELL0.12$0.57
03-17 20:45Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
03-17 20:38Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 17?SELL0.999$2.77