asdfasdfxs
0x9b5b1cffb6052c2efc28f1ab9b4d4d47adff4a17
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $383.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,067
- Open portfolio
- $318.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,067
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.120 | $127.81 | −$117.16 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.285 | $115.62 | −$22.31 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.105 | $63.00 | −$27.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.028 | $12.18 | −$17.82 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? · No | 0.132 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$991.38 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.81 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.050Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?
- +$761.27at 0.275Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?
- +$650.00at 0.100Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?
- +$473.14at 0.307Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
- +$463.50at 0.110Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.0677089545 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 09:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | SELL | 0.4338848964 | $1.9k |
| 10-13 01:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.2187228771 | $200.00 |
| 10-09 03:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.28 | $562.53 |
| 10-08 03:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.07 | $36.74 |
| 10-07 23:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.36 | $504.00 |
| 10-07 02:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.18 | $65.45 |
| 10-07 02:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.18 | $360.00 |
| 10-01 13:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.11 | $20.24 |
| 10-01 13:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.11 | $65.45 |
| 10-01 13:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.12 | $36.36 |
| 10-01 13:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.12 | $22.80 |
| 10-01 13:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.11 | $27.17 |
| 10-01 13:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.11 | $33.00 |
| 10-01 13:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.12 | $71.04 |