0x9b57b11d7d55c97d5ba85283bea72d582975bc5c
0x9b57b11d7d55c97d5ba85283bea72d582975bc5c
- Realised P&L
- $-12.97
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $183.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.969 | $62.14 | +$1.19 |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? · Yes | 0.869 | 0.850 | $60.26 | −$1.33 |
| Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.977 | $58.71 | +$1.62 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.067 | $2.21 | −$2.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.51at 0.870Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
- +$6.53at 0.919Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?
- +$5.85at 0.908Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
- +$4.08at 0.922Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$2.34at 0.932Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:38 | Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | SELL | 0.7023835732 | $16.59 |
| 09-15 15:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999988 | $4.65 |
| 09-13 23:05 | Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? | BUY | 0.95 | $57.09 |
| 09-13 23:03 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.51 |
| 09-13 22:03 | Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? | BUY | 0.95 | $60.95 |
| 09-13 22:01 | Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | BUY | 0.8687620772 | $82.11 |
| 09-10 19:13 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.8599999995 | $76.35 |
| 09-09 11:19 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.909999999 | $73.08 |
| 09-06 00:40 | Will Maive Rute be the next President of Estonia? | SELL | 0.9978669778 | $42.76 |
| 09-05 12:16 | Will SPD win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9679999774 | $34.61 |
| 09-04 20:02 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.6199999297 | $3.00 |
| 09-04 20:00 | Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | SELL | 0.997 | $90.61 |
| 09-04 19:18 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9149999992 | $51.77 |
| 09-02 18:43 | Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.996 | $90.52 |
| 09-02 13:02 | Will Pascale Marchand win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.996 | $54.64 |