oneoftherealones
0x9b5286574a57e0790e0b04e081c95ce9cbc32f15
- Realised P&L
- $-0.29
- Volume
- $91.32
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $11.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lebanon win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.942 | 0.932 | $11.33 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.857Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?
- +$1.32at 0.885Will FC Kharkiv win on 2026-09-30?
- +$0.10at 0.990Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-30?
- +$-3.65at 0.856Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:05 | Will Lebanon win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.9419999523 | $11.45 |
| 09-30 19:15 | Will FC Kharkiv win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.879999993 | $10.10 |
| 09-30 18:58 | Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.17 |
| 09-30 16:55 | Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.988999905 | $10.07 |
| 09-30 16:52 | Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.64 | $10.25 |
| 09-30 15:19 | Lithuania vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.85 | $13.61 |
| 09-30 14:59 | Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.72 |
| 09-30 14:19 | Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.850533444 | $11.68 |