QubiBg
0x9b43f18a489080d170fd17d9dbd5e8c8ab64a7cb
- Realised P&L
- $10.2k
- Volume
- $88.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $14.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.304 | 0.985 | $14.5k | +$10.0k |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $313.19 | +$18.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.349Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$4.0kat 0.316Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$1.9kat 0.210Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:28 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3 | $681.38 |
| 10-18 10:40 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.32 | $640.00 |
| 10-18 10:36 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.31 | $50.41 |
| 10-18 10:32 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.03 |
| 10-18 10:31 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.4k |
| 10-18 10:30 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $247.72 |
| 10-18 10:26 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $454.40 |
| 10-16 21:26 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.0k |
| 10-15 10:53 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.308 | $72.70 |
| 10-15 00:10 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.3069820014 | $170.56 |
| 10-15 00:08 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.38 | $557.26 |
| 10-14 02:53 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.294 | $31.21 |
| 10-13 17:44 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.307 | $90.76 |
| 10-13 17:43 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.307 | $399.10 |
| 10-13 17:42 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.305 | $468.39 |