ndghtw
0x9b4241a05c2a285769d10cd3c7fc10668a65d37e
- Realised P&L
- $2.14
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $6.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.270 | $6.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.07at 0.487Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$0.79at 0.560Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants
- +$0.56at 0.640Will Darren Criss win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?
- +$0.56at 0.640More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?
- +$0.42at 0.706Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 19:00 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 06-12 08:52 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 13:44 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 13:43 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 12:44 | More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 13:45 | Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:22 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:20 | Which party wins Virginia House of Delegates? | SELL | 0.949 | $0.98 |
| 09-23 13:31 | Which party wins Virginia House of Delegates? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 21:19 | Will a hurricane form by September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 16:24 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 16:17 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.35 |
| 06-28 05:40 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 13:55 | Will Darren Criss win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 05:19 | Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |