PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ndghtw

0x9b4241a05c2a285769d10cd3c7fc10668a65d37e

Realised P&L
$2.14
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$6.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.2800.270$6.75$0.25
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 19:00Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.28$7.00
06-12 08:52Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
06-11 13:44Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY0.32$1.00
06-11 13:43Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.7$1.00
02-27 12:44More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?BUY0.64$1.00
12-29 13:45Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.985$1.00
10-29 02:22Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?BUY0.77$1.00
10-29 02:20Which party wins Virginia House of Delegates?SELL0.949$0.98
09-23 13:31Which party wins Virginia House of Delegates?BUY0.97$1.00
08-30 21:19Will a hurricane form by September 30?BUY0.9$1.00
07-26 16:24Bitcoin all time high by December 31?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
07-26 16:17Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?SELL0.34$0.35
06-28 05:40Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?BUY0.97$1.00
05-25 13:55Will Darren Criss win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?BUY0.64$1.00
04-09 05:19Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?BUY0.9$1.00