MIRKO
0x9b3f9f6f9fa1c2dd591a7d5cd3d9474c0305fc6c
- Realised P&L
- $-553.37
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $157.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat? · No | 0.960 | 0.981 | $59.63 | +$1.28 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.987 | $49.26 | −$0.12 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.955 | $48.35 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.46at 0.964Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
- +$1.60at 0.900Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$1.30at 0.966Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?
- +$0.94at 0.960Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- +$0.86at 0.966Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 10:54 | Astros vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.57 | $559.74 |