leiE
0x9b29355e9e1103c674e995695a932f0d91caebae
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $103.5k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.660 | 0.705 | $911.52 | +$58.18 |
| Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.769 | 0.945 | $481.50 | +$89.48 |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.473 | 0.775 | $319.61 | +$124.56 |
| Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No | 0.618 | 0.645 | $256.29 | +$10.58 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.347 | 0.555 | $94.90 | +$35.56 |
| Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.666 | 0.065 | $13.94 | −$128.86 |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.390 | 0.645 | $4.26 | +$1.69 |
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.347 | 0.430 | $2.05 | +$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.82at 0.450Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$250.49at 0.550Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
- +$188.11at 0.667OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$167.81at 0.916Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
- +$142.54at 0.444Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 05-02 16:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 04-27 14:40 | Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1841163258 | $85.25 |
| 04-23 21:42 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4213659344 | $470.90 |
| 04-23 21:10 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.298 | $7.45 |
| 04-23 14:05 | Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1321577726 | $71.20 |
| 04-23 14:05 | Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2127113703 | $7.30 |
| 04-23 13:49 | Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1981311155 | $8.10 |
| 04-23 12:43 | Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26? | BUY | 0.56 | $7.07 |
| 04-21 14:50 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4524163569 | $30.43 |
| 04-16 23:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.991 | $2.0k |
| 04-16 21:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.0k |
| 04-16 20:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.991 | $3.8k |
| 04-16 20:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $3.8k |
| 04-16 20:11 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5275482123 | $99.30 |