0x9b2823fb926fe106b893e005180e1b27129893c7
0x9b2823fb926fe106b893e005180e1b27129893c7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.00
- Volume
- $57.30
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $7.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.237 | $1.88 | −$0.12 |
| Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 - 3 FC Bayern München? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.056 | $1.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.865 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.400 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.348 | 0.141 | $0.81 | −$1.19 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.11 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) · Arsenal FC | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.35at 0.434Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?
- +$0.43at 0.704Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?
- +$0.25at 0.890Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?
- +$0.09at 0.957Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-15?
- +$-2.09at 0.240Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:38 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:34 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:33 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:32 | Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:29 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 03:27 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 02:34 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 02:31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 16:29 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.251999998 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 16:28 | Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 - 3 FC Bayern München? | BUY | 0.0729999981 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 16:18 | Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.3479999659 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 16:16 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-29? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 16:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in October? | BUY | 0.6699999428 | $2.11 |