Jakato
0x9b2695f816669a5da7246b51e4722d4728082211
- Realised P&L
- $-29.2k
- Volume
- $356.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.190 | $7.8k | −$2.0k |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.2k |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$569.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.693Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
- +$-93.85at 0.672Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?
- +$-974.99at 0.120MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
- +$-8.7kat 0.458Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$-11.3kat 0.250Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 12:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $13.20 |
| 02-06 13:56 | Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.2279999986 | $103.44 |
| 02-05 22:34 | Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.2400748983 | $741.95 |
| 02-05 22:33 | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | SELL | 0.05 | $741.95 |
| 02-05 21:21 | Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.0569874775 | $1.4k |
| 02-05 21:20 | Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | BUY | 0.26859262 | $5.4k |
| 02-03 23:00 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | SELL | 0.1851344997 | $5.9k |
| 01-30 18:19 | Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary? | SELL | 0.6089050163 | $906.14 |
| 12-18 08:54 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.4769387281 | $3.8k |
| 12-18 07:57 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | SELL | 0.972 | $3.5k |
| 12-10 17:13 | MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | SELL | 0.003 | $25.00 |
| 12-07 17:50 | Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary? | BUY | 0.6719714948 | $1000.00 |
| 12-07 17:11 | MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $1000.00 |
| 11-30 00:59 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.456698719 | $8.0k |
| 11-29 12:24 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.8k |