0x9b22387389febf1c455824431c7ec534281c91b3
- Realised P&L
- $3.68
- Volume
- $20.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $26.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.068 | $10.46 | −$9.54 |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.065 | $8.48 | −$21.52 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No | 0.520 | 0.500 | $7.88 | −$0.32 |
| Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.00 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026? · No | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.64 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.63at 0.178U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
- +$23.07at 0.519Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-10 20:35 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 20:35 | Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2299999952 | $30.00 |
| 02-10 20:19 | Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu? | BUY | 0.2999999928 | $25.00 |
| 02-10 20:19 | Will Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu? | BUY | 0.390484603 | $25.64 |
| 02-10 20:18 | Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu? | BUY | 0.2985861657 | $57.00 |
| 02-10 20:17 | Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu? | BUY | 0.3899999967 | $30.00 |
| 02-10 20:14 | Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.497611465 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 20:04 | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | SELL | 0.997 | $257.62 |
| 02-08 00:12 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999949 | $8.20 |
| 02-07 13:05 | Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 02-06 20:00 | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | BUY | 0.1780174249 | $46.00 |
| 02-06 19:57 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $48.06 |
| 02-05 17:56 | Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 02-05 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $14.00 |
| 02-05 17:51 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5195967912 | $25.00 |