0x9b1F993FAFD41Fe7EECB5C13a219cbe6EE0bF250-1778350428750
0x9b1f993fafd41fe7eecb5c13a219cbe6ee0bf250
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $42.3k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $16.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.701Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.4kat 0.756Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$297.49at 0.288Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?
- +$289.34at 0.362Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$220.59at 0.844Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:15 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.988 | $317.03 |
| 11-01 17:26 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9349273953 | $300.00 |
| 10-31 15:59 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $184.26 |
| 10-31 15:58 | Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $14.44 |
| 10-30 17:51 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.4422387529 | $58.12 |
| 10-30 04:11 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.07 |
| 10-30 04:11 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October? | BUY | 0.4471794872 | $17.44 |
| 10-30 04:10 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October? | BUY | 0.28 | $10.92 |
| 10-30 04:10 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.12 |
| 10-30 03:46 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.15 |
| 10-30 00:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $890.00 |
| 10-29 02:30 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.3683660193 | $135.49 |
| 10-29 01:33 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.2997858803 | $490.03 |
| 10-28 18:00 | Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $4.87 |
| 10-28 15:36 | Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.8189459296 | $1.7k |