0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375
- Realised P&L
- $93.3k
- Volume
- $6.33M
- Markets traded
- 4,351
- Open portfolio
- $116.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,351
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) · Bills | 0.800 | 0.830 | $12.8k | +$454.51 |
| Spread: Bills (-21.5) · Lions | 0.652 | 0.595 | $12.2k | −$1.2k |
| Spread: Bills (-20.5) · Lions | 0.605 | 0.535 | $8.9k | −$1.2k |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) · Bills | 0.636 | 0.790 | $8.2k | +$1.6k |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) · Bills | 0.490 | 0.605 | $7.5k | +$1.4k |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills | 0.818 | 0.875 | $6.6k | +$428.03 |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) · Bills | 0.920 | 0.970 | $5.1k | +$263.62 |
| Spread: Bills (-19.5) · Lions | 0.551 | 0.515 | $4.9k | −$342.64 |
| Lions vs. Bills · Bills | 0.822 | 0.925 | $4.3k | +$480.47 |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) · Lions | 0.473 | 0.425 | $3.6k | −$409.49 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.461 | 0.335 | $3.4k | −$1.3k |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 66.5 · Under | 0.741 | 0.755 | $3.3k | +$60.29 |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) · Bills | 0.399 | 0.720 | $3.3k | +$1.5k |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) · Bills | 0.690 | 0.830 | $3.1k | +$530.94 |
| Spread: Bills (-13.5) · Bills | 0.405 | 0.665 | $2.5k | +$961.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.4kat 0.260Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$12.9kat 0.264Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$11.2kat 0.795Bears vs. Panthers
- +$10.8kat 0.792Jets vs. Titans
- +$10.3kat 0.895Cowboys vs. Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:50 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.8599585234 | $2.1k |
| 09-18 00:50 | Spread: Bills (-21.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $1.4k |
| 09-18 00:50 | Spread: Bills (-21.5) | BUY | 0.6 | $1.4k |
| 09-18 00:50 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 55.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-18 00:48 | Spread: Bills (-19.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $2.2k |
| 09-18 00:48 | Spread: Bills (-19.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $188.09 |
| 09-18 00:48 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-18 00:48 | Spread: Bills (-16.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $1.6k |
| 09-18 00:47 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-18 00:47 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $55.16 |
| 09-18 00:47 | Spread: Lions (-3.5) | BUY | 0.93 | $3.99 |
| 09-18 00:46 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $336.87 |
| 09-18 00:46 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $474.81 |
| 09-18 00:46 | Spread: Bills (-14.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $590.43 |
| 09-18 00:46 | Spread: Bills (-7.5) | BUY | 0.7 | $1.4k |