PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gwagwa

0x9b0e2ec2ce60bb845071eef8106dd33b35568884

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$30.8k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2130.415$581.00+$283.00
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3180.595$575.57+$268.42
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2330.505$303.00+$163.00
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.8410.325$35.34$56.17
Will Vance say "Commitment" during Air Force Academy Address? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president? · Yes0.5450.000$0.00$108.99
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.3510.000$0.00$70.20
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$25.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$96.60
Will Vance say "Ass" during Air Force Academy Address? · No0.7600.000$0.00$76.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes0.5720.000$0.00$376.41
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00$66.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27? · Down0.4800.000$0.00$4.80
Will King Charles say "Parliament" 3+ times during State Opening? · Yes0.3210.000$0.00$150.90
Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$44.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 21:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.182$109.20
07-04 23:22Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.069$96.60
05-27 14:56Will Trump say "Letitia" or "James" during Cabinet meeting?BUY0.62$15.50
05-20 15:16SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?BUY0.94$199.28
05-20 09:13SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?BUY0.7$8.87
05-13 06:50Will King Charles say "Parliament" 3+ times during State Opening?BUY0.5$20.00
05-06 09:54Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL0.4$158.55
05-04 16:08Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.59$295.00
05-04 15:21Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.5657576271$200.28
05-04 11:39Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.54$108.00
05-04 10:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?BUY0.37$108.96
05-04 10:04S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?BUY0.39$39.00
05-04 10:04S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?BUY0.36$28.80
05-04 10:03S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?BUY0.22$4.40
04-29 19:18Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?BUY0.9185658282$84.35