PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gwagwa

0x9b0e2ec2ce60bb845071eef8106dd33b35568884

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$34.0k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2130.925$1.3k+$997.00
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3480.965$1.0k+$665.20
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2330.951$570.59+$430.60
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5520.565$228.25+$5.10
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6800.725$217.50+$13.50
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.3020.535$47.12+$20.55
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3700.815$24.45+$13.35
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2190.167$17.51−$5.45
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0440.045$13.05+$0.29
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? · Yes0.0550.057$11.40+$0.40
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0370.040$3.13+$0.20
Will Vance say "Commitment" during Air Force Academy Address? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president? · Yes0.5450.000$0.00−$108.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Up0.4950.000$0.00−$49.48
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.3510.000$0.00−$70.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 10:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.494821$49.48
07-06 21:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.182$109.20
07-04 23:22Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.069$96.60
05-27 14:56Will Trump say "Letitia" or "James" during Cabinet meeting?BUY0.62$15.50
05-20 15:16SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?BUY0.94$199.28
05-20 09:13SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?BUY0.7$8.87
05-13 06:50Will King Charles say "Parliament" 3+ times during State Opening?BUY0.5$20.00
05-06 09:54Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL0.4$158.55
05-04 16:08Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.59$295.00
05-04 15:21Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.5657576271$200.28
05-04 11:39Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.54$108.00
05-04 10:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?BUY0.37$108.96
05-04 10:04S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?BUY0.39$39.00
05-04 10:04S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?BUY0.36$28.80
05-04 10:03S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?BUY0.22$4.40