chester20341
0x9b043c12405869c7e7c55ec3c5dee7213ce139a7
- Realised P&L
- $-0.13
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $65.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.19at 0.399Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 13?
- +$5.76at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 11?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 12?
- +$4.17at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 12?
- +$4.14at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-14 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:21 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 10-14 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-14 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.994 | $4.31 |
| 10-14 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.13 |
| 10-14 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |