PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chester20341

0x9b043c12405869c7e7c55ec3c5dee7213ce139a7

Realised P&L
$-0.13
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
201
Open portfolio
$65.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded201
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14? · Yes0.3550.992$11.18+$7.18
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 14? · Yes0.4500.994$8.83+$4.83
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14? · Yes0.4600.995$4.33+$2.33
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14? · Yes0.4500.945$4.20+$2.20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 14? · Yes0.2900.400$2.76+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15? · Yes0.4900.610$2.49+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15? · Yes0.3500.400$2.29+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 15? · Yes0.4100.460$2.24+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 15? · Yes0.3600.375$2.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 15? · Yes0.3120.325$2.08+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15? · Yes0.4600.470$2.04+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 15? · Yes0.3100.315$2.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15? · Yes0.3200.325$2.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 15? · Yes0.4500.455$2.02+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15? · Yes0.4100.405$1.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 20:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-14 20:14Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-14 20:10Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-14 19:55Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14?SELL0.998$4.99
10-14 17:21Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-14 17:21Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-14 16:58Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14?SELL0.003$0.02
10-14 16:14Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
10-14 16:14Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
10-14 16:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 14?BUY0.419999979$2.00
10-14 16:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
10-14 16:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 14?SELL0.001$0.01
10-14 16:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 14?SELL0.994$4.31
10-14 15:59Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?SELL0.02$0.13
10-14 15:58Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 14?BUY0.3099999954$2.00