acisclo
0x9b02cd45a972cc8700079f0840a42f619f3dcaa6
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $537.8k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $11.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.130 | $6.78 | +$3.65 |
| Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.290 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$3.55 |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.589Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$2.5kat 0.003Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$841.36at 0.430Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$746.86at 0.753Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$560.55at 0.540Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-07 08:10 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 600k? | BUY | 0.06 | $32.58 |
| 01-07 08:10 | Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? | SELL | 0.0372938833 | $32.57 |
| 01-04 22:58 | Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.6999999998 | $611.34 |
| 01-04 22:57 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? | SELL | 0.24 | $611.34 |
| 01-03 08:48 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? | BUY | 0.2299999995 | $291.16 |
| 01-03 08:48 | Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $291.16 |
| 01-03 07:59 | Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $256.62 |
| 01-03 07:59 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? | SELL | 0.2002731494 | $256.62 |
| 01-03 07:46 | Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1840049467 | $221.32 |
| 01-03 07:05 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6527218 | $392.50 |
| 01-03 07:03 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7561530275 | $454.70 |
| 01-03 06:46 | Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 01-03 06:45 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? | SELL | 0.1762817976 | $150.59 |
| 01-03 06:44 | Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026) | SELL | 0.0081222997 | $37.75 |
| 01-03 06:44 | Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026) | SELL | 0.2845823686 | $114.31 |