gmax1
0x9afe989b6374646a85d6443a1e8cec6cb1d69386
- Realised P&L
- $-169.32
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $100.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.595 | $59.50 | −$5.50 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.790 | 0.855 | $25.65 | +$1.95 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.075 | $15.00 | −$13.00 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.60 |
| Cavaliers vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.163 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.747 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.25 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) · Nets | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Heat · Nuggets | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.97at 0.939Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
- +$26.47at 0.480LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
- +$17.49at 0.761Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
- +$13.03at 0.580Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
- +$12.00at 0.310Spurs vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 02:15 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 05-29 02:31 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 03-24 02:52 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 09:25 | Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.999 | $792.06 |
| 03-23 08:04 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.162999987 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 08:03 | Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $69.79 |
| 03-23 07:25 | Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $792.06 |
| 03-23 07:24 | Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5062165366 | $50.00 |
| 03-23 01:01 | Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 16:07 | Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9956696362 | $300.09 |
| 03-04 08:49 | Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.990303489 | $53.64 |
| 03-03 07:04 | Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9929916593 | $246.44 |
| 01-30 14:25 | Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9229999988 | $50.00 |
| 01-20 03:43 | Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2766671396 | $50.00 |
| 01-07 00:34 | Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.950262482 | $235.84 |