PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

45DFGGBN

0x9af99f5c170b9a0f378e0cf83568a46005974cd4

Realised P&L
$-15.43
Volume
$57.6k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$24.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration81.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$24.00−$56.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-24 03:53Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$85.40
02-24 06:45Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$65.13
02-24 06:44Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.976$64.99
02-04 07:21Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9829999998$65.46
02-02 05:16Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?SELL0.999$65.45
01-28 02:36Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?BUY0.99$64.87
01-28 02:36Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?BUY0.9869999759$40.00
01-20 01:50Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?BUY0.98$102.77
01-13 06:27Will Ethereum reach $3,900 January 12-18?BUY0.998$50.90
01-04 08:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 5?BUY0.999$102.26
12-09 00:45Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?BUY0.999$102.16
12-02 04:46Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?BUY0.987$98.70
11-26 01:56Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?BUY0.999$99.90