45DFGGBN
0x9af99f5c170b9a0f378e0cf83568a46005974cd4
- Realised P&L
- $-15.43
- Volume
- $57.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $24.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $24.00 | −$56.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.34at 0.006Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$2.10at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?
- +$1.30at 0.987Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?
- +$0.59at 0.990Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?
- +$0.31at 0.994Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 January 12-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-24 03:53 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $85.40 |
| 02-24 06:45 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $65.13 |
| 02-24 06:44 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.976 | $64.99 |
| 02-04 07:21 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9829999998 | $65.46 |
| 02-02 05:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? | SELL | 0.999 | $65.45 |
| 01-28 02:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? | BUY | 0.99 | $64.87 |
| 01-28 02:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1? | BUY | 0.9869999759 | $40.00 |
| 01-20 01:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.98 | $102.77 |
| 01-13 06:27 | Will Ethereum reach $3,900 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.90 |
| 01-04 08:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.26 |
| 12-09 00:45 | Will Solana reach $580 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.16 |
| 12-02 04:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 11-26 01:56 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |