PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9Af7A7a2CDaf23079FF638c7F58Faf63E1749314-1768128922257

0x9af7a7a2cdaf23079ff638c7f58faf63e1749314

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$324.0k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$10.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? · Yes0.0650.060$9.21−$0.79
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? · Yes0.1160.025$1.10−$3.90
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.3300.061$0.33−$1.42
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No0.2880.000$0.00−$3.4k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · No0.6280.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 13:33Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
10-19 13:33Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?BUY0.0609267829$5.00
10-18 16:14Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?BUY0.1159999981$5.00
10-18 16:08Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.961$4.55
06-07 20:23Iran closes its airspace by June 8?BUY0.6279999485$10.00
06-06 13:19Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0299999943$5.00
06-06 13:17Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?SELL0.9$1.00
06-06 13:17Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.979$1.05
06-06 13:17Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.87$1.05
06-06 13:17Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.5$1.25
04-30 12:16Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.002$5.00
04-30 12:16US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL0.001$5.00
04-29 07:43Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?BUY0.003$10.00
04-29 07:42US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?SELL0.002$10.00
04-27 18:46US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.002$20.00