0x9aef477700f7bad45e8852a1f99ee8394f1b521d
0x9aef477700f7bad45e8852a1f99ee8394f1b521d
- Realised P&L
- $5.82
- Volume
- $369.06
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $6.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? · No | 0.640 | 0.825 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.355 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.585 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.515 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.655 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.350 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.94at 0.412Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$2.50at 0.450S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 4?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?
- +$2.21at 0.480S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 15:51 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:50 | Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:46 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 05:44 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 21:43 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.3189999225 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:43 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:27 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:09 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 14:55 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 06:52 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 22:51 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:52 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |