0x9ae66e354c09dadbe618c60e89f723133a6d853e
0x9ae66e354c09dadbe618c60e89f723133a6d853e
- Realised P&L
- $22.14
- Volume
- $18.53
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $24.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar119.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown · Yes | 0.500 | 0.300 | $13.24 | −$8.82 |
| Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp · Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0.500 | 0.415 | $11.22 | −$2.30 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago White Sox | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.82 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.87at 0.500Spread: Rams (-6.5)
- +$14.42at 0.500Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever
- +$10.53at 0.500Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:01 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5299999968 | $9.82 |