0x9ad8ce2f7789525d24d4419c97cd12d3ec414340
- Realised P&L
- $-60.51
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $0.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.004 | $0.60 | −$6.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.18at 0.310Ankalaev vs. Pereira
- +$5.91at 0.249Aspinall vs. Gane
- +$1.59at 0.670Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$1.00at 0.031Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$0.17at 0.024Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:09 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.0599999558 | $1.25 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0342575 | $1.37 |
| 07-19 20:57 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.99 |
| 07-19 20:56 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.036 | $1.44 |
| 07-19 19:22 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1199999597 | $2.50 |
| 07-19 19:21 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.50 |
| 07-14 19:27 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2224999877 | $11.93 |
| 07-09 15:22 | Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.43 |
| 07-08 22:10 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.89 |
| 07-06 20:56 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.6599999837 | $3.23 |
| 07-06 20:56 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.026 | $3.39 |
| 07-02 12:04 | Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | BUY | 0.0234782609 | $1.35 |
| 07-02 12:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.45 |
| 06-25 18:59 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.65 |
| 06-25 07:43 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |