poliskvi
0x9ad434d197f9141bc5a086389053a9f2e6ef9484
- Realised P&L
- $249.11
- Volume
- $87.1k
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $73.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split · No | 0.620 | 0.600 | $60.00 | −$2.00 |
| Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.135 | $13.50 | −$6.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.74at 0.670US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$139.08at 0.930US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$108.16at 0.480Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
- +$102.00at 0.490Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$73.00at 0.887Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:22 | Will Vitality Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? | SELL | 0.243624 | $24.36 |
| 09-20 13:33 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.04 | $0.19 |
| 09-20 12:33 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 09-19 13:45 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 09-19 12:35 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.1 | $0.32 |
| 09-18 11:08 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.7 | $43.40 |
| 09-18 09:19 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.629999973 | $7.00 |
| 09-18 09:18 | Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-17 14:56 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs magic - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-14 11:52 | Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $102.90 |
| 09-11 15:14 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4 | $18.40 |
| 09-11 10:34 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $102.90 |
| 08-10 11:02 | LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $38.96 |
| 08-09 22:08 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | BUY | 0.86 | $87.72 |
| 08-09 21:02 | Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |