ChocolateChip
0x9acf3655bd1aa27746e13469c940e6013a8c0cc2
- Realised P&L
- $-557.24
- Volume
- $71.9k
- Markets traded
- 863
- Open portfolio
- $4.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded863
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.60at 0.116Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?
- +$112.48at 0.144Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?
- +$108.68at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?
- +$98.55at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 6?
- +$96.96at 0.527Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 20:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-07 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.43 |
| 08-07 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 08-07 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 08-07 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 08-07 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-07 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 08-07 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.12 |
| 08-07 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.0402603774 | $2.13 |
| 08-07 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-07 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 08-07 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-07 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 08-07 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |