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Traders

smi1e

0x9acd8d2bcabc675ef46e23d9fbb2f328cdb1a3fe

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$343.1k
Markets traded
4,151
Open portfolio
$8.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,151
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? · No0.9841.000$915.80+$14.66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on August 5? · No0.9960.999$634.82+$1.59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 5? · No0.9940.997$604.72+$1.52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 5? · No0.9871.000$325.16+$4.07
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.9870.992$247.88+$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on August 5? · No0.9900.994$213.60+$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 5? · No0.9940.996$180.16+$0.36
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on August 5? · No0.9900.900$126.00$12.60
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5? · No0.9900.996$104.47+$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on August 6? · No0.9941.000$89.95+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5? · No0.9800.990$76.00+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on August 5? · No0.9951.000$73.84+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 5? · No0.9870.999$71.70+$0.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on August 4? · No0.9841.000$64.97+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 5? · No0.9870.996$63.33+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 16:55S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 5?SELL0.9$10.08
08-04 16:41Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 5?BUY0.994$603.20
08-04 14:34Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 5?BUY0.994$179.79
08-04 14:33Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 5?BUY0.994$5.72
08-04 13:44Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 4?SELL0.960625$15.37
08-04 13:43Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.987$246.75
08-04 13:39Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on August 5?BUY0.996$633.23
08-04 13:38Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on August 5?BUY0.99$4.95
08-04 13:37Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on August 6?BUY0.995$79.60
08-04 13:27Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on August 6?SELL0.971$1.96
08-04 13:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on August 6?SELL0.94$66.65
08-04 13:26Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.976$107.36
08-04 13:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5?SELL0.989$59.34
08-04 13:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.997$49.85
08-04 13:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.966$48.30