smi1e
0x9acd8d2bcabc675ef46e23d9fbb2f328cdb1a3fe
- Realised P&L
- $-734.23
- Volume
- $710.4k
- Markets traded
- 10,446
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,446
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.91at 0.894Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 18?
- +$119.46at 0.944Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$119.37at 0.791Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 29?
- +$111.27at 0.962Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$90.54at 0.844Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-18 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 09-18 16:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 16:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 09-18 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.74 | $16.05 |
| 09-18 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 09-18 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-18 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.40 |
| 09-18 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.09 |
| 09-18 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 09-18 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-18 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-18 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $26.46 |