PolyBot

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Traders

smi1e

0x9acd8d2bcabc675ef46e23d9fbb2f328cdb1a3fe

Realised P&L
$-734.23
Volume
$710.4k
Markets traded
10,446
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,446
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 19? · No0.9881.000$557.72+$6.24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 20? · No0.9800.990$165.33+$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 20? · No0.9860.980$150.41$0.93
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.9430.996$111.55+$5.98
Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? · No0.9701.000$76.62+$2.26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? · No0.8330.575$71.12$31.93
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 19? · No0.9851.000$59.97+$0.87
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on September 19? · No0.9800.998$59.06+$1.07
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 18? · No0.9901.000$54.97+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 20? · No0.9900.994$49.70+$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 20? · No0.9900.985$49.25$0.25
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 19? · No0.9710.985$48.28+$0.66
Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 30°C or higher on September 19? · No0.9800.660$39.06$18.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on September 20? · No0.9690.990$34.65+$0.75
Will White House post 100-119 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.9840.970$31.02$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 19:05Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 20?BUY0.99$24.75
09-18 19:05Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 20?BUY0.99$24.75
09-18 16:12Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.99$9.90
09-18 16:12Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.98$4.90
09-18 16:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on September 20?BUY0.96$24.00
09-18 14:38Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20?BUY0.74$16.05
09-18 14:38Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20?BUY0.74$37.00
09-18 14:30Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20?BUY0.98$19.60
09-18 14:30Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20?BUY0.98$29.40
09-18 13:55Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.989$9.09
09-18 13:55Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.988$9.88
09-18 13:35Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on September 20?BUY0.99$9.90
09-18 13:31Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on September 20?BUY0.99$19.80
09-18 13:30Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on September 20?BUY0.99$9.90
09-18 13:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 20?BUY0.98$26.46