0x9ac7b413ef6ed429dc50526cbd09a6ea77ed78c7
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $274.41
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.280 | 1.000 | $132.00 | +$95.04 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $140 | 0.290 | 0.587 | $102.14 | +$51.68 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.044 | $40.27 | −$140.73 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$679.10at 0.101Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
- +$656.88at 0.240Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$599.42at 0.180Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
- +$498.07at 0.140Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
- +$483.60at 0.220Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 13:44 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.1k |
| 04-27 09:26 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $555.45 |
| 04-27 09:24 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 04-27 09:24 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $41.40 |
| 04-27 08:22 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 04-24 05:06 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $603.75 |
| 04-24 03:46 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $459.36 |
| 04-21 04:48 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $13.44 |
| 04-13 18:25 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $24.78 |
| 04-13 10:11 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $691.68 |
| 04-13 04:13 | Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.23 | $123.51 |
| 04-13 04:12 | Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.23 | $45.31 |
| 04-12 22:39 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $683.82 |
| 04-12 20:58 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $57.96 |
| 04-11 23:48 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $216.55 |