danypotter
0x9ac5bc1634b7453a415c1928157f0f511e59917b
- Realised P&L
- $24.1k
- Volume
- $522.2k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $35.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.811 | 0.895 | $16.6k | +$1.6k |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.894 | 1.000 | $10.0k | +$1.1k |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.980 | 0.990 | $6.1k | +$55.95 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.835 | $3.2k | +$95.00 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.001 | $0.23 | −$280.51 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$932.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.904Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.873Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.902Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
- +$1.8kat 0.846Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.745Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 19:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $1.4k |
| 09-08 19:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.87 | $3.0k |
| 09-03 04:37 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.981 | $2.2k |
| 09-03 04:37 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.8k |
| 08-28 00:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9391033409 | $4.1k |
| 08-26 16:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9651970317 | $6.1k |
| 08-10 15:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669175608 | $1.1k |
| 08-10 15:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.9783043698 | $2.5k |
| 08-10 15:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9866105353 | $3.0k |
| 08-10 15:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.4k |
| 07-27 19:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.735 | $4.0k |
| 07-15 16:57 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9657681038 | $5.0k |
| 06-06 07:08 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.974 | $1.9k |
| 06-06 07:08 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.973 | $285.62 |
| 06-06 07:08 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9727619768 | $6.2k |