0x9ac102eF8eC0C20900EC6e19b4522AaA4427CA59-1774032126662
0x9ac102ef8ec0c20900ec6e19b4522aaa4427ca59
- Realised P&L
- $-18.35
- Volume
- $135.59
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.135 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.300 | $1.36 | −$0.64 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 22? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs · G2 Esports | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · Vitality | 0.585 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.85at 0.130Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.75at 0.800Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$0.59at 0.630Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
- +$0.49at 0.860Iran leadership change by March 31?
- +$0.21at 0.840Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 20:32 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 20:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $3.21 |
| 06-19 20:30 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $2.08 |
| 06-19 20:29 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 19:06 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 05-13 19:03 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9189999775 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 20:40 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1709999354 | $2.00 |
| 04-23 17:22 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.85 |
| 04-23 17:20 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 04-18 16:20 | Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 21:58 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 03-21 23:05 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999861 | $3.00 |
| 03-21 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $1.94 |
| 03-21 22:00 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 03-21 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.299999955 | $4.00 |