0x9abDe39908572B54d5B0d03829E70CAB397C61B5-1789627674641
0x9abde39908572b54d5b0d03829e70cab397c61b5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.34
- Volume
- $111.00
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $7.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 23? · No | 0.610 | 0.675 | $4.05 | +$0.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $3.63 | −$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.99at 0.701Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?
- +$1.35at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21?
- +$1.20at 0.759Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 22?
- +$1.06at 0.788Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.66 |
| 09-22 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.87 |
| 09-21 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-20 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-19 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.85 |
| 09-19 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-19 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-19 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 09-18 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.92 |