0x9Aa8794983931508A31bc7f55950507FdD66935a-1759000261729
0x9aa8794983931508a31bc7f55950507fdd66935a
- Realised P&L
- $23.41
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $19.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.40at 0.116Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.48at 0.757Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$10.29at 0.447Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$7.93at 0.430Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$5.52at 0.403Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 12:14 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 16:28 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 20:28 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.505904057 | $44.77 |
| 06-30 07:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1129999903 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 21:39 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 06-16 20:27 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 14:54 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.568999998 | $15.00 |
| 05-10 22:33 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 22:32 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.86 | $16.00 |
| 04-21 15:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 04-21 15:09 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0680000001 | $3.00 |
| 04-20 07:43 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.4299999731 | $8.00 |
| 04-11 22:06 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.65 | $14.52 |
| 04-10 22:53 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 04-10 22:14 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.4859504021 | $6.00 |