PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9Aa8794983931508A31bc7f55950507FdD66935a-1759000261729

0x9aa8794983931508a31bc7f55950507fdd66935a

Realised P&L
$23.41
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$19.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3400.295$8.68−$1.32
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5200.705$6.78+$1.78
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.075$3.57−$6.43
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00−$1.14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.5690.000$0.00−$15.00
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 20? · Up0.1600.000$0.00−$3.20
Nothing Ever Happens: January · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$10.00
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$1.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 12:14Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3399999966$10.00
09-05 16:28Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
07-14 20:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.505904057$44.77
06-30 07:54Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1129999903$10.00
06-23 21:39Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
06-16 20:27Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.4399999894$10.00
06-01 14:54MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.568999998$15.00
05-10 22:33Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
05-10 22:32Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.86$16.00
04-21 15:102026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5199999834$5.00
04-21 15:09Starmer out by April 30, 2026?BUY0.0680000001$3.00
04-20 07:43Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.4299999731$8.00
04-11 22:06Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.65$14.52
04-10 22:53Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.3$3.00
04-10 22:14Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.4859504021$6.00