Guesspro
0x9aa6301bf203e76df59f07a47f4b670b6801e331
- Realised P&L
- $-77.85
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $3.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.915 | $2.18 | +$1.18 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $1.29 | −$0.71 |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.039 | $0.46 | −$1.54 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.71at 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$43.60at 0.259Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$22.05at 0.316NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5
- +$19.41at 0.205Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
- +$16.13at 0.113LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 20:50 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2189999851 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 11:40 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4659999959 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 07:25 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0959999919 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 07:25 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1649999934 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 13:12 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1119999904 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 13:11 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1709999934 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 13:10 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 13:08 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 05-31 21:14 | LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 21:13 | LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 21:13 | LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 21:13 | LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 21:13 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 21:12 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.2899999275 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 21:12 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |