0x9aa566d1e9f14fe498e3cd2a3c4196e6ecd8dc6e
0x9aa566d1e9f14fe498e3cd2a3c4196e6ecd8dc6e
- Realised P&L
- $-48.26
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $4.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in New York? · No | 0.710 | 0.735 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Trump say "Micron" during his Midterm Rally in New York? · No | 0.230 | 0.235 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York? · No | 0.680 | 0.630 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.105 | $0.55 | −$1.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.66at 0.250Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?
- +$5.10at 0.318Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of March?
- +$5.00at 0.278Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$3.81at 0.349Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$3.63at 0.400Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 13:12 | Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week? | BUY | 0.2439999352 | $2.35 |
| 05-28 12:05 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.83 |
| 05-27 13:06 | FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301? | BUY | 0.4099999437 | $2.04 |
| 05-27 12:55 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999025 | $2.36 |
| 05-24 21:12 | Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B? | BUY | 0.4599999719 | $2.29 |
| 05-21 08:51 | Will Trump say "Too late" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 05-20 09:36 | Will Trump say "Chair" this week? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 05-19 09:04 | Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 05-15 10:49 | Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? | BUY | 0.3899999362 | $2.20 |
| 05-08 12:39 | Will Trump post "FBI" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 05-08 11:55 | Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 05-04 21:54 | Romania No-Confidence vote passes? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.15 |
| 05-04 21:50 | Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.3399998975 | $1.99 |
| 05-04 21:46 | Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.2699999307 | $1.87 |
| 05-04 21:42 | Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.15 |