0x9aa3df62950cb1084d91db14ec4de815404096b1
0x9aa3df62950cb1084d91db14ec4de815404096b1
- Realised P&L
- $4.90
- Volume
- $67.07
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $19.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No | 0.500 | 0.490 | $7.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No | 0.610 | 0.600 | $3.44 | −$0.06 |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.345 | $2.54 | +$0.04 |
| Will Fulham be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $2.45 | −$0.05 |
| Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.450 | $2.39 | −$0.11 |
| Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.93at 0.144Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$-1.03at 0.216Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 23:13 | Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:10 | Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $2.50 |
| 10-07 23:05 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.3399999619 | $2.50 |
| 10-01 16:21 | Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.6099999913 | $3.50 |
| 10-01 16:20 | Will Fulham be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.50 |
| 10-01 16:19 | Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.5 | $8.00 |
| 06-28 19:06 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 21:59 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | SELL | 0.98 | $7.00 |
| 06-20 21:53 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |