mini99882
0x9a9de92facfd35dded492ab7592f687b38ba6be6
- Realised P&L
- $216.98
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $7.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.360 | 0.025 | $7.12 | −$93.53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24? · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No | 0.943 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.17at 0.100Ethereum Up or Down on January 31?
- +$33.35at 0.375Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$30.72at 0.833Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
- +$15.00at 0.780Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
- +$14.15at 0.900Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 03:16 | Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $294.58 |
| 02-27 09:43 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 02-27 09:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | SELL | 0.997 | $187.12 |
| 01-31 04:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | SELL | 0.999 | $96.73 |
| 01-27 06:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.978 | $94.70 |
| 01-24 04:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $0.95 |
| 01-24 04:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | SELL | 0.9790137 | $97.90 |
| 01-20 04:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? | SELL | 0.976 | $70.92 |
| 01-04 09:09 | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.12 |
| 12-26 04:48 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $127.34 |
| 12-26 04:44 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $61.16 |
| 12-26 04:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.997 | $66.18 |
| 12-03 03:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9790263964 | $64.99 |
| 12-03 03:05 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9779999874 | $60.00 |
| 11-12 04:21 | Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? | BUY | 0.98 | $82.00 |