Arquimedes
0x9a98260822694b32c50157ab3e376fa0ed91feb7
- Realised P&L
- $-347.53
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $144.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.180 | $144.60 | −$86.89 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$219.35 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$577.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$542.79at 0.435Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
- +$130.24at 0.479US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$-136.80at 0.360Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 08:44 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.20 |
| 09-22 09:30 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.186 | $53.01 |
| 09-22 09:21 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1893405434 | $57.42 |
| 09-07 20:10 | US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.4765385714 | $33.36 |
| 07-15 09:13 | Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July? | BUY | 0.38 | $87.83 |
| 07-15 08:43 | Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 06-13 10:53 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | BUY | 0.2475757576 | $16.34 |
| 06-13 10:40 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.07 |
| 06-13 10:40 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | BUY | 0.189 | $22.68 |
| 06-13 09:18 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | BUY | 0.3272410738 | $500.00 |