PolyBot

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Traders

thebam

0x9a8636c78bed2ba4f5a62b86bc6de2b51e89f184

Realised P&L
$184.23
Volume
$25.3k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes0.6400.655$510.87+$11.70
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · Yes0.3950.259$198.25$104.74
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes0.0600.045$186.99$63.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Down0.9071.000$110.22+$10.22
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1310.125$60.20$3.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down0.0450.005$11.17$88.83
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down0.1550.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Down0.0560.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Down0.2230.000$0.00$150.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Down0.0940.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.0440.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down0.3030.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00$163.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.4470.000$0.00$499.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.2610.000$0.00$692.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 11:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.07$13.10
09-19 11:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.0335949916$37.38
09-19 11:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.0530483586$49.53
09-19 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.4270171891$422.32
09-19 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.4698470189$371.01
09-19 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.3995175024$422.29
09-19 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.38$39.47
09-19 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.1118827102$76.27
09-19 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.0889297748$96.86
09-19 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.1066015802$3.14
09-19 11:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.08778375$100.00
09-19 11:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSELL0.3633459227$369.42
09-19 11:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.6099999985$100.00
09-19 11:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.6069651731$100.00
09-19 11:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.5979073244$100.00