HarryFBD
0x9a840c675ead70365fdc71ab03d9e829cde4813e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.07
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $45.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson vs. LSU · LSU | 0.780 | 1.000 | $28.00 | +$6.16 |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.690 | 0.695 | $17.38 | +$0.13 |
| Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.58 |
| Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-08-13? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.16at 0.500Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
- +$74.70at 0.500Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
- +$20.42at 0.500Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$18.85at 0.500Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$13.36at 0.577Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:29 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $17.25 |
| 09-04 03:16 | Clemson vs. LSU | BUY | 0.78 | $21.84 |
| 08-13 09:32 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.58 |
| 08-10 08:11 | Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.73 | $22.63 |
| 07-11 05:56 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.996 | $37.85 |
| 07-11 05:55 | Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.25 | $13.50 |
| 07-11 05:54 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.11 |
| 07-02 12:25 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.30 |
| 06-25 07:30 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.55 | $13.37 |
| 06-06 02:36 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 06-06 02:36 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.95 |
| 05-28 07:46 | Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.57 | $18.01 |
| 04-25 03:23 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.99 | $41.96 |
| 04-25 03:23 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 03:23 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.991 | $25.00 |