PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

13378647

0x9a7fbcafe3779140234e4e4fed33ebd2861dc51a

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$27.8k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$969.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7400.775$523.65+$23.65
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? · Yes0.3170.320$101.00+$1.00
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5200.515$99.04−$0.96
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5000.495$99.00−$1.00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.615$97.62−$2.38
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2610.255$48.86−$1.14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2890.000$0.00−$57.80
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3370.000$0.00−$75.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$100.00
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$30.00
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Up0.4120.000$0.00−$43.65
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3600.000$0.00−$100.00
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5 · Over0.4400.000$0.00−$30.00
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance · Algeria0.2170.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 17:38Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2609673962$50.00
11-02 17:37Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5$100.00
11-02 17:35Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5199999981$100.00
11-02 17:34Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6299999989$100.00
11-02 17:33Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7399999996$500.00
11-02 17:25Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?BUY0.3168316832$100.00
07-19 19:56Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$117.81
07-15 19:25England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999981$100.00
07-14 20:02Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2774999936$30.00
07-14 19:57France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3599999987$100.00
07-12 02:26Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5BUY0.6224999987$100.00
07-12 02:25Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1027196227$50.00
07-11 22:44Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4774999993$100.00
07-06 23:48United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5BUY0.439999993$30.00
07-06 23:44Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsBUY0.3799999942$30.00