0x9a6a6d8021b5c6df7f176a92a6bc12a383aa725d
- Realised P&L
- $-16.45
- Volume
- $959.61
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $108.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.775 | $108.50 | −$18.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.47at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$1.34at 0.930USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$0.01at 0.995EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
- +$-0.06at 0.966MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 08:01 | APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 05-19 08:01 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $127.27 |
| 04-30 05:09 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $125.45 |
| 04-30 05:09 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.965 | $18.14 |
| 03-31 09:43 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.966 | $18.17 |
| 03-31 09:43 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9950867717 | $126.38 |
| 03-24 11:40 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.995 | $126.36 |
| 03-12 12:39 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $124.62 |