0x9A6931060fd1c930451ADbD3013d893e2eDAC2A0-1779488106546
0x9a6931060fd1c930451adbd3013d893e2edac2a0
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $229.4k
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.305Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$968.98at 0.551Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$921.62at 0.451Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
- +$464.67at 0.489Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$339.20at 0.461Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 18:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $39.62 |
| 10-20 18:12 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $30.22 |
| 10-20 18:10 | Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 14:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $42.03 |
| 10-19 14:54 | Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? | SELL | 0.11 | $8.80 |
| 10-19 14:52 | Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | SELL | 0.1 | $35.60 |
| 10-17 13:25 | Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 13:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $332.85 |
| 10-17 13:23 | Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | SELL | 0.7 | $11.66 |
| 10-17 13:21 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 13:20 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01 | $10.07 |
| 10-14 18:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $190.97 |
| 10-14 18:01 | Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? | SELL | 0.77 | $161.28 |
| 10-14 18:00 | Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | SELL | 0.090375 | $28.92 |
| 10-14 18:00 | Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.60 |