dezzired
0x9a5b7b06b32f814aa84381c8b6c0fd63fa35c6c1
- Realised P&L
- $-7.2k
- Volume
- $277.3k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.484 | 0.155 | $2.3k | −$5.0k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.442 | 0.041 | $10.27 | −$100.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.9kat 0.347Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
- +$7.6kat 0.400Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
- +$6.6kat 0.459Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
- +$3.5kat 0.627Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$288.61at 0.373Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $48.68 |
| 09-21 12:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | SELL | 0.0373164835 | $66.25 |
| 07-19 12:23 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.54 | $200.34 |
| 07-14 20:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.95 | $10.4k |
| 07-14 20:32 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.085 | $620.50 |
| 07-10 15:34 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.135 | $4.60 |
| 06-24 08:43 | Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | BUY | 0.04 | $7.68 |
| 06-15 18:38 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.34 |
| 06-15 18:37 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.40 |
| 06-15 18:12 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $2.55 |
| 06-15 10:48 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.20 |
| 06-15 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15? | BUY | 0.047 | $1.65 |
| 06-11 06:56 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 09:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.6k |
| 06-04 09:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | SELL | 0.12 | $82.92 |