68sfds
0x9a5b1c2e3fa83e68acb3447b7e8aa823bf97acf6
- Realised P&L
- $-104.64
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $68.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.73at 0.202Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
- +$0.85at 0.010Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 29?
- +$0.84at 0.680Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 29?
- +$0.70at 0.221Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 29?
- +$0.47at 0.021Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 05:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 07-23 02:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.61 |
| 07-21 01:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.27 |
| 07-20 17:38 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-18 18:41 | Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.82 |
| 07-17 12:54 | Will UK annual inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4% in June? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.45 |
| 07-15 09:17 | Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.242 | $3.19 |
| 07-10 02:35 | Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 07-09 06:15 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-07 22:58 | Wimbledon 2026: Wildcard to Reach the Quarterfinals? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-07 18:08 | Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.58 |
| 07-06 19:27 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-12 House seat? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.41 |
| 07-06 06:36 | Will Joe Pyfer be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-06 06:29 | Will Joe Pyfer be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 07-05 03:31 | Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.503 | $2.52 |