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0x9a5702e917f715a4a0b5e500add89406e9aabaa9
- Realised P&L
- $-6.96
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 407
- Open portfolio
- $97.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded407
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.34at 0.757Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 25?
- +$3.89at 0.560Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 13?
- +$3.06at 0.620Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 3?
- +$2.74at 0.651Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 4?
- +$2.49at 0.671Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.74 |
| 09-18 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.23 |
| 09-18 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.20 |
| 09-18 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.20 |
| 09-18 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.20 |
| 09-18 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.28 |
| 09-18 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.08 |
| 09-18 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.66 |
| 09-18 06:47 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.28 |
| 09-18 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.25 |
| 09-18 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.74 |
| 09-18 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.80 |
| 09-18 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.16 |
| 09-17 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.50 |
| 09-17 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.33 |