zxzad
0x9a56936615b166003e8dc2abb471562177094c5d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.67
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $23.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.03at 0.113Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?
- +$12.38at 0.540Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 9?
- +$11.50at 0.080Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
- +$7.49at 0.211Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$7.43at 0.287Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 08:17 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 08:17 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 08:16 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 08:16 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 08:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.7399999681 | $5.11 |
| 09-11 03:11 | Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5503355705 | $8.20 |
| 09-03 09:42 | Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August? | BUY | 0.1859999273 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 08:59 | Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August? | BUY | 0.1859999273 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 08:00 | Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 09:03 | Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 13:35 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.076 | $1.52 |
| 08-17 13:00 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.074299134 | $1.48 |
| 08-08 10:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999844 | $4.41 |
| 08-08 10:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 10:22 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31? | BUY | 0.779999989 | $11.37 |