PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zxzad

0x9a56936615b166003e8dc2abb471562177094c5d

Realised P&L
$-3.67
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$23.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.1300.865$13.31+$11.31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.7400.994$6.86+$1.75
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026? · No0.2100.180$1.71$0.29
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 25, 2026? · No0.2500.195$1.56$0.44
Bulls vs. Hornets · Bulls0.5800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 13, 2026? · No0.2000.000$0.00$2.00
Cavaliers vs. Hawks · Cavaliers0.6600.000$0.00$2.00
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$1.86
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? · No0.0760.000$0.00$15.00
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 15, 2026? · No0.2200.000$0.00$2.00
Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31? · No0.7800.000$0.00$11.37
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,400 on November 7? · No0.2590.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.3300.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 10? · No0.0380.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 08:17Will Russia target Kyiv on September 15, 2026?BUY0.219999978$2.00
09-11 08:17Will Russia target Kyiv on September 25, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
09-11 08:16Will Russia target Kyiv on September 13, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-11 08:16Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-11 08:11US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.7399999681$5.11
09-11 03:11Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.5503355705$8.20
09-03 09:42Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?BUY0.1859999273$2.00
09-03 08:59Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in August?BUY0.1859999273$2.00
08-25 08:00Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-23 09:03Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?BUY0.1699999422$2.00
08-17 13:35NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?BUY0.076$1.52
08-17 13:00NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?BUY0.074299134$1.48
08-08 10:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4299999844$4.41
08-08 10:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1299999467$2.00
07-23 10:22Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?BUY0.779999989$11.37