PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

charay12

0x9a518fab3cbe191a236806c9b43f59f1d536bf4c

Realised P&L
$642.80
Volume
$59.9k
Markets traded
1,399
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,399
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8670.975$140.78+$15.50
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7600.992$137.82+$32.18
Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5 · Over0.5600.750$124.43+$31.52
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.8450.983$94.82+$13.22
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · No0.8600.855$74.39$0.43
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs · Zeu5 Esports0.8100.855$64.92+$3.42
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement? · Yes0.9240.916$60.88$0.50
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.8700.978$54.03+$5.97
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · No0.9001.000$51.54+$5.13
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.7900.979$51.17+$9.86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.7001.000$40.09+$12.01
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.3301.000$39.22+$26.27
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.6800.999$28.37+$9.05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9201.000$28.29+$2.25
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? · Yes0.9070.943$25.53+$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:32Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack DraperBUY0.32$4.62
08-03 09:32National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos TsitsipasBUY0.3599999578$4.44
08-03 04:31Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.1109999808$4.92
08-03 01:25Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.7799999944$22.12
08-03 01:24Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?BUY0.9240016323$61.38
08-02 23:44LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN PlayoffsBUY0.8099999999$61.50
08-02 22:51Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.3399999746$4.55
08-02 22:51Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.4$9.20
08-02 20:54LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupBUY0.3699999659$5.32
08-02 20:44LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupBUY0.7299999684$3.70
08-02 20:33Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.6899999947$9.10
08-02 19:40Hagen: Max Schoenhaus vs Jan ChoinskiBUY0.5$53.55
08-02 19:29Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.1505882353$4.80
08-02 18:52Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.42$5.46
08-02 18:36Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.2299999751$6.00