weun
0x9a4f6334ba203206f4531983cd9df420ddd8a409
- Realised P&L
- $2.90
- Volume
- $886.40
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $136.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.996 | 0.999 | $76.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will XRP reach $3.20 in October? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $30.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will BNB dip to $400 in October? · No | 0.998 | 0.992 | $19.88 | −$0.12 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.937 | 0.972 | $10.37 | +$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.76at 0.929Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$0.50at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19?
- +$0.40at 0.995Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
- +$0.21at 0.997Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$0.20at 0.998Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9955415197 | $76.00 |
| 10-13 12:57 | Will BNB dip to $400 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 12:57 | Will XRP reach $3.20 in October? | BUY | 0.9959608806 | $30.00 |
| 07-23 11:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $125.00 |
| 06-19 09:05 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9949999922 | $60.00 |
| 06-19 09:05 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9949999754 | $20.00 |
| 06-19 09:04 | Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.00 |
| 06-19 09:03 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9369999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 09:02 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.9289999966 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 15:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.00 |
| 05-15 15:46 | Will Solana reach $170 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.00 |
| 05-15 15:46 | Will Solana reach $160 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $40.00 |
| 05-15 15:44 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.00 |
| 04-18 13:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 19? | BUY | 0.996 | $133.78 |
| 03-23 13:18 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.9969999957 | $70.20 |