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Traders

rirwin

0x9a4ad88d688263429073e4103bdf7f435674ba21

Realised P&L
$-57.41
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$40.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No0.8551.000$28.19+$4.09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18? · Yes0.6100.435$12.69−$5.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 19:54Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?BUY0.75$19.00
01-31 14:07Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?BUY0.9969999998$9.26
01-30 16:22Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January?BUY0.999$5.14
01-30 16:11Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?BUY0.9989999421$8.50
01-30 15:14Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?BUY0.9969999999$14.88
01-30 14:22Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?BUY0.9979999883$42.79
12-30 17:43Dogecoin all time high before 2026?BUY0.9989999584$1.92
12-30 16:50Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.998$4.32
12-30 14:34Maduro out in 2025?BUY0.9959999376$12.65
12-30 12:34Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.999$15.94
12-29 23:53Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?BUY0.999$14.12
12-29 21:55Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.997$32.41
10-30 18:17Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$20.45
10-30 17:51Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.985$24.85
09-29 18:39Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$19.00
Trader rirwin · PolyBot Pro