rivw
0x9a42b5df1bed868a38da058016d24a52daa27a22
- Realised P&L
- $16.93
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $19.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.785 | $9.57 | +$4.57 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.745 | $9.50 | +$4.50 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.86at 0.280US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$0.00at 0.001Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 08:49 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 08:44 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY | 0.3921568627 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 09:22 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 03-24 01:51 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 10:58 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |