MZMMJP
0x9a3c29109855be6a07eb57d40675150c8efb5089
- Realised P&L
- $-448.18
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $593.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.105 | $223.42 | −$368.87 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.055 | $123.26 | −$228.77 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.013 | $102.39 | −$175.94 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.040 | $93.17 | −$145.32 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.285 | $41.90 | +$2.21 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.007 | $9.75 | −$17.55 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.26 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.65 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.61at 0.320MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
- +$8.91at 0.130MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.036Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
- +$1.15at 0.220Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$0.60at 0.040Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 23:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 23:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 08-26 08:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2803030303 | $92.50 |
| 08-24 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.26 |
| 08-24 08:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $99.00 |
| 08-24 08:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $105.00 |
| 08-21 06:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.45 |
| 08-21 04:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.185817688 | $338.69 |
| 08-21 04:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $176.45 |
| 08-21 04:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1163246965 | $380.80 |
| 08-21 04:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $56.61 |
| 07-11 10:28 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.91 |
| 06-12 16:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $89.32 |
| 06-12 16:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0336087022 | $8.95 |
| 06-12 16:24 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.031 | $27.90 |